The Ice Cream Man Cometh
by Lynn Petrak
Driven by market factors and consumer trends,
processors strive to keep pace on sales of frozen treats.
Talk about a churning
process. The ice cream category has been cranking it out in all directions
over the past year, a time that has been marked by fluctuations as well as
innovations.
On the good-news side, Americans still scream for their
ice cream. According to information provided by the Washington, D.C.-based
International Dairy Foods Association (IDFA), more than 90 percent of
Americans are ice cream buyers, while the current market for ice cream
products is estimated at more than $20 billion.
In addition, the ice cream category continues to open
up, especially with the success of premium and superpremium varieties and,
on the other end of the spectrum, the growth of better-for-you products.
Manufacturers are racing to the marketplace with both types of products,
trying to meet consumers’ fickle and sometimes conflicting demands.
The result is an almost dizzying array of ice cream
products. David Shearn, national account manger for Lakewood, N.J.-based
Mister Cookie Face Inc., began his career in the ice cream business at a
major supermarket chain more than 20 years ago and has seen firsthand the
remarkable growth of the category.
“People love their ice cream and they love
variety in ice cream and novelties. It’s unbelievable how different
it is today,” he says. “You now have up to 17 doors of ice
cream in a store, but when I first started, we were using five doors in
most of our stores.”
Rising butterfat and vanilla prices through most of
2004 spurred sticker shock among producers, retailers, foodservice
operators and consumers alike. An economy that was still struggling to
rebound, along with higher energy costs, didn’t help matters.
Smith Dairy, Orrville, Ohio, is like many dairies,
introducing new products while trying to keep a lid on budgets.
“Components in ice cream tend to be very volatile — butterfat,
milk, vanilla and pecans, to name a few. These ingredients have dramatic
effects on the cost of ice cream and the bottom line,” says vice
president of marketing Bill McCabe, adding that most of the impact has been
on the company’s private label sales, due to narrower profit margins.
Similarly, Pierre’s French Ice Cream Co.,
Cleveland, has invested in ongoing research and development, but has also
experienced the effects of unstable prices. “Escalating costs for
dairy ingredients, in addition to rising fuel and material costs, have had
a negative impact and have been a financial strain,” says Laura
Hindulak, director of marketing. “We are hoping that 2005 commodity
costs stabilize so that we can successfully manage our business.”
TOP 10 ice cream brands* | ||||
$ Sales(In Millions) | % Changevs. Year Ago | Unit Sales(In Millions) | % Changevs. Year Ago | |
Private Label | $836.4 | -3.5% | $294.0 | -8.2% |
Breyers | 523.1 | -4.1 | 150.0 | -4.6 |
Dreyer’s/Edy’s Grand | 417.6 | 9.9 | 123.7 | 14.3 |
Blue Bell | 245.2 | 3.6 | 75.6 | 2.1 |
Häagen-Dazs | 208.2 | 12.5 | 62.4 | 13.6 |
Ben & Jerry’s | 180.3 | -4.9 | 57.3 | -7.3 |
Dreyer’s /Edy’s Grand Light | 121.6 | 46.8 | 33.8 | 53.4 |
Wells’ Blue Bunny | 103.9 | -2.4 | 28.1 | -2.0 |
Turkey Hill | 92.5 | 7.8 | 32.6 | 10.7 |
Dreyer’s/Edy’s | 78.1 | 7.4 | 21.4 | 11.1 |
* Total sales in supermarkets, drug stores and mass merchandisers, excluding Wal-Mart, for the52-week period ending October 31, 2004.SOURCE: Information Resources Inc. |
Industry consultant Malcolm Stogo, president of Malcolm
Stogo Associates, Riverdale, Md., and author of several books on ice cream,
agrees that it has been a tumultuous year in terms of production costs, but
he foresees an improved selling environment. “The biggest thing next
year, more than anything else, is the price changes going on with cream and
vanilla extract. Next year, you’ll see manufacturers having a lot
better year,” he predicts.
The Economic Scoop
Although concerns about terrorism, war and the economy
helped boost sales of ice cream as a comfort food in the early 2000s, this
past year has been a slightly different story. Recent sales figures
indicate that demand has been stable at best. According to research from
Chicago-based Information Resources Inc. (IRI), total sales of ice cream,
frozen yogurt and sherbet (excluding novelties) rose 0.5 percent during a
52-week period ending in mid-November to more than $4.36 billion. Unit
sales fell a bit for ice cream, down 2 percent to nearly 1.35 million.
Within the hard-pack ice cream category, figures are
mixed. Dreyer’s Grand Ice Cream, Oakland, Calif., experienced a
relative boom in sales, up 10.4 percent from last year. Private label
manufacturers, second to Dreyer’s in the ranking of top vendors, saw
their products drop 3.5 percent in sales over the past year. Meanwhile,
although Unilever’s Green Bay, Wis.-based subsidiary Good
Humor-Breyers and Brenham, Texas-based Blue Bell Creameries posted gains,
sales at Unilever’s South Burlington, Vt.-based Ben &
Jerry’s Homemade Inc. dimmed somewhat, dropping 2.2 percent, and
Integrated Brands (a subsidiary of Canadian firm CoolBrands
International) lost 13.7 percent.
The frozen yogurt segment has also been marked by
declines, with overall sales dipping 11.3 percent in 2004. Several frozen
yogurt vendors lost ground, some by as much as 21 percent. Sherbet also was
lower, by about 4 percent.
Beyond sales figures, companies made industry news in
other ways last year. HP Hood, Chelsea, Mass., announced in the fall that
it was consolidating its ice cream operations, after acquiring the Crowley
and Kemps brands earlier in 2004. After obtaining the Häagen-Dazs
brand in 2003, Dreyer’s expanded its reach once again by acquiring
the Häagen-Dazs franchise operation. In the midst of the
reduced-carbohydrate diet frenzy, CoolBrands acquired the licensing for
Atkins Endulge packaged ice cream and novelties, while Mister Cookie
Face (which markets Endulge ice cream in portion-controlled cups),
announced a long-term licensing deal to make low-carb ice cream and
novelties under the Keto banner.
Better is Good
Low-carb, in fact, was probably the biggest buzzword
within the ice cream category for 2004. The year started with a bang in
January, when market research firm NPD Group reported that as many as 10
percent of Americans were trying to follow low-carb, high-protein diets.
Food and beverage manufacturers that weren’t already working or
introducing such products scurried to perfect formulas for low-carb options
and negotiate their distribution.
Low-carb ice cream and novelty products are the latest
entries into the broad better-for-you segment, which was born about 20
years ago and has evolved to include low-calorie, lowfat, no-sugar-added
and calcium-added varieties.
The market for better-for-you ice cream and novelty
products can be a rocky road for manufacturers trying to balance
consumers’ health and nutrition demands with the traditional taste
and comfort-food status of ice cream.
That is an assessment shared by Palatine, Ill.-based
food industry analyst Bob Messenger. “Consumers love ice cream.
They know what good ice cream tastes like. But they’re also worried
about health issues, like obesity, diabetes, cholesterol, and something has
got to give,” says Messenger, publisher and editor of the online food
industry newsletter The Morning Cup.
The potential problem for ice cream makers is that what
typically “gives” is flavor. “Success with these products
will get down to taste. That is always the end-game,” Messenger says.
Ice cream manufacturers understand well that consumers
talk out of both sides of their mouths when it comes to demands for taste
and health. “Consumers have a love-hate relationship with ice
cream,” says Kim Goeller-Johnson, media relations manager for
Dreyer’s. “They want to eat healthier, but are dissatisfied
with less-flavorful light ice creams.”
To provide a solution for health-conscious but
discriminating consumers, Dreyer’s launched a new
“slow-churned” Grand Light product line in 2004. According to
Johnson, the ice cream is made with a proprietary process that results in
ice cream with half the fat and 30 percent fewer calories with the taste
and texture of full-fat ice cream.
Since its introduction, the product has seemingly found
its niche. “Sales of Dreyer’s better-for-you products rose 100
percent over the year due to the success of our Slow Churned Grand Light
ice cream,” Johnson reports.
Many — if not most — other ice cream makers
found themselves in the middle of the low-carb frenzy over the past year.
Indeed, what started with a trickle in 2003 soon turned into a veritable
flood of low-carb ice cream and novelty products.
One of the earliest players in the low-carb
sub-category was Mister Cookie Face, which had helped develop the Atkins
Endulge ice cream. “We were honestly the first ones to introduce a
low-carb ice cream,” says Shearn.
In early 2004, Mister Cookie Face partnered with Keto,
a company that markets the world’s largest line of low-carb foods. In
a few months, they expanded the line to include several additional
superpremium SKUs of ice cream and novelty bars. “We try to get away
from bases like vanilla, chocolate and strawberry,” Shearn says.
“It’s a vanilla world, but if you are making a specialty ice
cream, vanilla isn’t your goal. Our goal is things like peanut
butter, raspberry and chocolate-covered cherry bar flavors.”
What also sets Keto ice cream novelties apart,
according to Shearn, are the ingredients. “We’ve gone after the
approach that we will not use sugar alcohol in our base formulas to get the
carb count down,” he explains.
Several other ice cream companies have jumped on the
low-carb bandwagon in the past 12 months. Good Humor-Breyers was the first
in the industry to introduce zero net carb ice cream products in early
2004, under its CarbSmart umbrella. “There are very few
products currently available to meet the specific needs of serious low-carb
dieters, those who are closely limiting their net carb intake,” says
Dan Hammer, vice president of marketing and development. “Our new
CarbSmart products meet the needs of this group of consumers.” The
line includes Neopolitan and Chocolate and Vanilla flavors, while zero
net-carb novelties include Orange and Mixed Berry CarbSmart Creamsicle® bars.
Ben & Jerry’s is another category leader with
a piece of the low-carb action. This past year, the company rolled out its
Carb Karma® line in Chocolate, Half-Baked and Vanilla Swiss Almond varieties.
Ice cream brands in the Dallas-based Dean Foods family
have also unveiled new low-carb options in recent months. Mayfield Dairy
Farms, Dean’s powerhouse in the Southeast, introduced its Less Carbs line in
March.
Lancaster, Pa.-based Turkey Hill Dairy appealed to
legions of carb-counting Americans by adding CarbIQ ice cream to its
roster of better-for-you products. Blue Bunny, manufactured by Le Mars,
Iowa-based Wells’ Dairy Inc., dubbed its low-carb products Carb
Freedom, available in several flavors for ice cream and novelties.
Several dairies with a strong local presence developed
low-carb options or touted their no-sugar-added items to carb-counting
consumers.
“With the success of our Splenda® brand sweetened
Slender® Ice Cream, Pierre’s continued the momentum with a
strong 2004 kick-off by introducing innovative, exciting Pierre’s
Carb Success No Sugar Added Ice Cream,” says Hindulak.
Pierre’s Carb Success was launched in chocolate and vanilla, with
plans to add more varieties later.
Cherry Off the Sundae?
Despite all of clamor about carbs and the number of
dairies that hurried to get in on the trend, the enthusiasm for strict
eating plans like Atkins and South Beach already seems to be waning. The
NPD Group reported that the 10 percent of Americans who said they were on
low-carb diets earlier in 2004 had declined to 4.6 percent by the fall.
Moreover, a report in The New York Times in November declared the low-carb phenomena had all but
peaked, after more than 3,700 new low-carb items flooded the market within
two years.
Such observations come as no surprise to some in the
ice cream category. “A lot of people spent a lot of money on the
marketing of low-carb product, but this is one of the worst collapses of
diets in a long time,” says Stogo. “First, there was a lot of
bad press about the diet. Second, a lot of manufacturers put too much fat
in their low-carb product — it tastes good but isn’t as good
for you.”
Still, such an approach to food intake has achieved a
major purpose, say observers. “In my opinion, I don’t believe
that low-carb will go away. I think it will be a niche out there on the
market,” says Shearn, who draws a comparison to other better-for-you
products that have been in the freezer for years. “Lowfat yogurt and
lowfat ice cream are still around. They said every year that they would go
away, but they are still here, and I think it will be that way with low
carb.”
Indeed, manufacturers that brought new low-carb
products to market seem to understand they were never the proverbial magic
bullet, but a necessary new part of the whole. “We sense that the
trend for low-carb products has peaked, though in our market sales for
Pierre’s Carb Success remains steady,” says Hindulak.
“Overall, better-for-you products and reduced-fat or lowfat offerings
continue to perform very well for us, and the success we have had with our
Pierre’s Slender No Sugar Added Reduced Fat Ice cream line proves
this to be true for us.”
Walt Freese, chief “euphoria” officer for
Ben & Jerry’s, agrees the next horizon of the better-for-you
category is a more balanced approach. “Rather than focusing on a
low-carb or no-sugar-added or even light ice cream, we’ve seen
consumer expectations evolve toward a more integrated approach to vitality
—looking at true combined health benefits,” he says.
As a result of such shifting consumer attitudes and
behavior, Ben & Jerry’s has been working on another new group of
products, set to debut in January. “We are moving to a new line
called Body & Soul, with 25 percent less fat, sugar and
calories,” Freese says. The Body & Soul lineup will include Ben
& Jerry’s “icon” flavors like Cherry Garcia,
Chocolate Fudge Brownie, Cookie Dough and Half-Baked, each with
better-for-you profiles.
TOP 10 frozen novelty brands | ||||
$ Sales(In Millions) | % Changevs. Year Ago | Unit Sales(In Millions) | % Changevs. Year Ago | |
Private Label | $329.9 | 1.6% | $141.1 | 1.7% |
Nestle Drumstick | 126.1 | 10.8 | 37.0 | 16.5 |
Klondike | 120.4 | -8.7 | 40.1 | -12.2 |
Weight Watchers Smart Ones | 101.0 | 2.0 | 23.6 | -1.5 |
Silhouette | 93.9 | -26.7 | 20.6 | -28.1 |
Dreyer’s/Edy’s | 91.1 | 9.5 | 30.7 | 6.6 |
Popsicle | 89.6 | -2.5 | 34.1 | -2.4 |
Klondike CarbSmart | 64.1 | 5,240.3 | 17.1 | 5,184.2 |
Häagen-Dazs | 54.7 | 13.3 | 18.2 | 17.6 |
Klondike Slim-a-Bear | 50.0 | 12.9 | 14.9 | 9.3 |
* Total sales in supermarkets, drug stores and mass merchandisers, excluding Wal-Mart, for the52-week period ending October 31, 2004.SOURCE: Information Resources Inc. |
Similarly, Mister Cookie Face has also heeded the
paradigm shift toward more true balance. The company is in the process of
launching a Slender Reward line, which includes ice cream bars in red
raspberry, orange cream and peanut butter flavors. “They address the
issue of being reduced fat, low calorie and low carb, and they are only one
point for Weight Watchers,” says Shearn. “That’s the next
evolution of the category. It’s not so much being on a
‘diet’ anymore — it’s watching and monitoring your
food intake.”
According to Johnson, the Dreyer’s slow-churned
line also meets that demand for balanced nutritional profiles and real
ingredient taste. “This is the first light ice cream that tastes just
like full-fat but without any additional additives, fats or
sweeteners,” she says. “Nearly eight out of 10 consumers
thought that Dreyer’s Slow Churned Grand Light was either a full-fat
premium or a full fat superpremium ice cream.”
At a Premium
Of course, there is a reason consumers want ice cream
to taste like premium or superpremium. The rich taste and creamy mouthfeel
of such varieties makes them perennial dessert favorites.
The indulgent segment of the ice cream category may be
the polar opposite of the better-for-you niche, but has been just as
prolific when it comes to new product development. For example, while Ben
& Jerry’s is offering more better-for-you varieties, the company
has also expanded its line of full-flavor items. “Again, it’s
that balance between vitality and indulgence,” Freese says.
This winter, Ben & Jerry’s will begin
distributing its latest superpremium flavors, including The Gobfather, made
with chocolate ice cream, fudge-covered almonds and a nougat swirl; Marcia
Marcia Marshmallow, made with chocolate ice cream with fudge chunks,
toasted marshmallows and graham cracker swirls; and Fossil Fuel, made with
sweet ice cream, chocolate cookie pieces, fudge dinosaurs and a fudge
swirl.
Likewise, the development team at Pierre’s
focuses as much on superpremium formulas as it does on ones that are lower
in carbs, calories and fat. “Great-tasting premium ice cream is still
in high demand. It’s one of those products that never goes out of
style,” Hindulak says. “Our sense is that consumers are still
looking for truly rich and indulgent premium ice creams and novelties. Even
consumers who watch what they eat may splurge once in a while.”
To that end, Pierre’s has introduced new
varieties such as Nuts About Buckeyes, French vanilla ice cream with
chocolate-covered peanut butter buckeye candies and ribbons of peanut
butter.
TOP 10 frozen yogurt/tofu brands* | ||||
$ Sales(In Millions) | % Changevs. Year Ago | Unit Sales(In Millions) | % Changevs. Year Ago | |
Private Label | 35.8 | -8.4 | 12.8 | -11.0 |
Dreyer’s/Edy’s | 35 | -10.0 | 9.2 | -7.6 |
Ben & Jerry’s | 21.5 | -24.4 | 6.6 | -26.3 |
Häagen-Dazs | 14.4 | -9.2 | 4.4 | -10.6 |
Turkey Hill | 13.6 | -1.9 | 4.4 | 1.7 |
Kemps | 8.1 | -5.1 | 2.1 | -5.4 |
Ben & Jerry’s 2 Twisted | 5.4 | -5.1 | 1.7 | -7.7 |
Tofutti | 4.6 | -5.9 | 1.5 | -10.2 |
Organic Soy Delicious | 4.3 | 15.9 | 1.1 | 19.3 |
Blue Bell | 3.7 | -8.5 | 0.8 | -13.2 |
* Total sales in supermarkets, drug stores and mass merchandisers, excluding Wal-Mart, for the52-week period ending October 31, 2004.SOURCE: Information Resources Inc. |
Meanwhile, Smith Dairy’s Ruggles brand now
includes more indulgent concoctions, such as Tootsie Roll and Tootsie Pop
flavors introduced last summer, and Bumpy Road, launched in the fall.
Inclusions also are getting more creative. Mayfield
rolled out its Caramel Popcorn ice cream in June, made of popcorn-flavored
ice cream swirled with caramel and dark chocolate chunks.
Cake is another unique ingredient blended with ice
cream these days. Franchises like Scottsdale, Ariz.-based Cold Stone
Creamery and Randolph, Mass.-based Baskin-Robbins have added cake-studded
ice creams to their menus. For retail customers, Blue Bell introduced
Wedding Cake ice cream last summer, made with pineapple ice cream blended
with crushed pineapple, pecans, vanilla wafers and shredded coconut with
cream cheese icing. In its ingredient-laden Creamy Commotions line, Turkey
Hill has introduced Tastykake Chocolate Cupcake and Jana’s® Sticky Bun
ice cream, with pieces of real sticky buns.
Such gourmet flair is a hallmark of the indulgent
segment. Dove® ice cream, distributed in pint-sized cartons by the Masterfoods
USA Brands division of Olive, N.J.-based Mars Inc., is another example.
Currently available in select markets, the superpremium ice cream
varieties, such as Toffee Caramel Moment, feature a host of confection
mix-ins and include a thick Dove® chocolate ganache coating on top. Häagen-Dazs also
has expanded its line, adding White Chocolate Raspberry Truffle and Peaches
& Cream.
As for future flavor trends, industry analysts have
varying opinions on exactly which profiles will emerge, but agree that wide
variety will continue to be what consumers are looking for. “I think
that ethnic flavors are stronger than ever and all over the place.
Especially flavors from the Far East and South America, the growth that is
happening in last four years is big,” Stogo says, naming flavors like
mango and green tea.
Another area to keep an eye on is organic, which is
swiftly moving beyond a niche. Ben & Jerry’s recently introduced
a line of organic ice cream, in Strawberry, Chocolate Fudge Brownie,
Vanilla and Sweet Cream and Cookies. “Organic has been a solid
performer in the natural foods class of trade but we are working to expand
distribution and we think it has a solid base,” says Freese.
“It is an excellent representation of our brand values.”
What’s more, he adds, the organic-buying consumer
has broadened these days to include more affluent consumers and family
customers.
In the better-for-you arena, there is still room for
growth as well, especially with products that deliver on taste. “I
think low calorie has a lot of potential, as the technology is getting
better and better. It is an untapped demand,” says Stogo.
Likewise, Messenger believes the better-for-you sector
is bound for yet another addition. “With trans fats scheduled to be
revealed on labels starting in January 2006, it is going to be a very
interesting year for the industry,” he says. “Already hundreds
of manufacturers, including the industry’s big dogs, are looking for
ways to remove trans fats — down to zero if possible — from
their products, across almost all categories. Frankly, I don’t see
how ice cream manufacturers cannot be part of that ‘removal’
activity.”
Selling Points
Manufacturers continue to execute marketing programs
that encompass advertising, public relations and promotions on many levels.
Packaging is one component. To grab consumers’
attention at the freezer, processors continue to enhance packaging,
especially as graphic capability improves.
Ben & Jerry’s, for example, will soon launch
a new line of Mood Magic ice creams for retail and foodservice outlets.
“If you remember the old mood rings, it’s like those. When you
take this product out of the freezer case and touch the illustrated ring on
the pint, it will change color,” Freese says of the packages made
with cutting-edge thermochromatic inks.
The Keto brand from Mister Cookie Face has also
commanded attention in the freezer because of its high-impact graphics and
prominent logo, Shearn says, explaining the goal was to look striking but
convey a distinct message. “We are low-carb ice cream, but we want
people to know we are superpremium.”
The container itself also has been a focus of
innovation, whether it’s downsized cartons or different shapes and
lids. Pierre’s has received positive consumer feedback for its
conversion to square-round, or “scround,” cartons nearly two
years ago, Hindulak says. “The shape of the carton fits more
conveniently in home freezers. Also, consumers do not have to dig as deep
for their scoops of ice cream,” she says, adding that retailers also
appreciate the format, since more units can be placed in displays.
Other marketing efforts continue to encourage consumers
to buy ice cream. Ben & Jerry’s, Häagen-Dazs and
Dreyer’s have launched new campaigns in print, radio and television
to boost new and existing products.
Pierre’s rolled out a “Freezer
Police” campaign in 2004 to radio listeners. Looking for “The
Best Ice Cream In Ohio,” a Freezer Police “paddy-wagon”
visited area retailers, pools, offices and local events.
Even with such creative campaigns, manufacturers have
had to work with squeezed marketing budgets over the past year, mostly due
to higher production costs. “Some investments in marketing programs
weren’t what they would have been, but we pride ourselves in running
a good operation and feel we weathered the storm in fine shape,” says
Freese.
As for the outlook for 2005, some observers anticipate
a marketing and product development climate that is anything but a deep
freeze. “There will be more positive margins,” Stogo predicts,
“and that may help innovations a lot.”
Lynn Petrak is a freelance journalist based in the
Chicago area.
The sweetest thing?
Tastes good. Good for you.
Therein lies the quandary for ice cream manufacturers, who find themselves
facing a double-edged spoon. Consumers’ demand for better-for-you ice
creams and their ongoing love affair with indulgent tastes has left many
manufacturers looking for ways to satisfy both cravings.
A team of researchers and product development
specialists at SPI Polyols Inc., New Castle, Del., teamed up with food
technologists at Pennsylvania State University and ingredient supplier FMC
Biopolymers in 2003 to formulate a no-sugar-added (NSA) ice cream with all
the flavor of the real thing. The result: people waiting in long lines at
the popular Penn State Creamery to try the better-for-you ice cream that
has been generating buzz around campus and among alumni.
Instead of ingredients like sorbitol, polydextrose,
maltodextrins and high-potency sweeteners found in most NSA ice creams,
this variety was made with maltitol syrup. Among other characteristics,
SPI’s Maltisweet IC maltitol syrup is effective because its
heavier molecular weight effectively replaces corn syrup found in
traditional full-sugar ice creams.
“We were able to change the parameters of
production to give us longer-chain carbohydrates in the maltitol matrix,
which helped with texture and mouthfeel,” explains SPI’s
marketing director Jerry Roland, adding that the NSA option is currently
the only better-for-you variety sold at Penn State.
What’s more, a recent sensory evaluation showed
ice cream made with Maltisweet IC is on par with regular ice cream.
“We compared Penn State’s no-sugar-added with their renowned
full-sugar, full-fat ice cream,” Roland says. “The survey
showed there were no significant differences — you had a match for a
full-sugar, full-fat ice cream with a no-sugar-added product.”
In addition to Penn State, SPI is working with several
ice cream manufacturers to improve their formulas with Maltisweet IC. The
need is a definite one, Roland says. “People are tired of paying high
prices for products that don’t taste good. There are some that are
good but others that are not. You can get away with that once, but you
won’t get a return purchase.”
$OMN_arttitle="The Ice Cream Man Cometh";?>