Dairy Foods logo
search
cart
facebook twitter linkedin youtube
  • Sign In
  • Create Account
  • Sign Out
  • My Account
Dairy Foods logo
  • NEWS
    • DAIRY REGULATIONS
  • PRODUCTS
    • New Products
    • Butter
    • Cheese
    • Cultured Dairy
    • Frozen Desserts
    • Ice Cream/Novelties
    • Milk
    • Non-Dairy Beverages
    • Sales Data
    • Whey, Milk Powder
    • Dairy Alternatives
  • INGREDIENTS
    • Cocoa
    • Colors/Flavors
    • Cultures/Enzymes
    • Fiber
    • Gums, Stabilizers, and Texturants
    • Inclusions
    • Omegas/Lipids
    • Prebiotics
    • Probiotics
    • Sweeteners
    • Other
  • OPERATIONS
    • SUSTAINABILITY
    • Equipment
    • Processing
    • Packaging
    • Food Safety & Sanitation
    • Membrane Technology
  • MEDIA
    • Dairy Foods TV
    • Podcasts
    • Webinars
  • DIRECTORIES
    • Buyers Guide
    • Dairy Plants USA
  • MEMBRANE FORUM
  • MORE
    • Associations
    • Dairy Foods' News & Views Newsletter
    • Blogs
    • Case Studies
    • Classifieds
    • Custom Content & Marketing Services
    • Dairy Foods Store
    • Market Research
    • Supplier Spotlights
    • Tradeshows and Events
    • Strategy Guides
  • AWARDS
    • Dairy Plant of the Year Award
    • Breakthrough Award
    • Dairy Processor of the Year
  • EMAGAZINE
    • eMagazines
    • Archive Issues
    • Contact
    • Advertise
    • SIGN UP!
    • Columnists
    • Dairy 100
    • State of the Industry Report

    Not All Records are Good

    By Jerry Dryer
    October 13, 2004
    dbv

    Jerry Dryer


    Establishing a new record performance at the Olympic Games is wonderful, but setting new record high milk and dairy product prices is not.

    The record-shattering wholesale and retail price surges this past spring drove milk and dairy product sales sharply lower. Some markets will recover. Other sales opportunities will be lost forever.

    During the second quarter, milk prices spiked sharply higher. Farm milk prices were 15 to 20% above the previous high. Milk prices during the second quarter had doubled since the abnormally low prices of the first half of 2003.

    Headlines ranted and raved about the huge increase in milk prices at the supermarket. Sticker shock meant plummeting milk sales in the grocery store. Starbuck's even blamed milk for an 11-cent increase in the price of a latte.

    Federal order data indicated that fluid milk sales were 4.3% below a year ago during May and 3% lower during June. It wasn't just the headlines that did it. Too many families in this country are living on a budget that can't readily accommodate sudden food price increases.

    The Yuppies sipping lattes are one market, and a nice market for milk, but they aren't buying two, three or four gallons of milk a week to nourish several offspring. Hopefully, these markets will recover; however, we all know too well: The beverage milk business has been flat at best and typically shrinking year after year.

    Higher farm prices translate into higher retail prices very quickly on the beverage side of the business. It takes awhile for higher wholesales prices to get passed through for retail cheese and butter. But when sharply higher prices do hit the retail shelf, sales take a hit.

    Because Easter and Passover occur anytime between late March and late April, it becomes a little trick to access the sales impact. But it was there. Sales have been running 4, 5 and 6% ahead of year-earlier levels. In the wake of the retail price surge, cheese and butter sales were below year-earlier levels.

    These products take a double whammy. Higher prices, in and of themselves, turn consumers away. Higher prices also mean fewer promotions. More than one-third of the cheese sold at retail is sold as part of some promotion - a sale, a coupon, a feature in the weekly advertising insert.

    Higher product prices have an impact on sales far beyond the retail shelf. Foodservice operators are much less likely to promote items with a cheese component, i.e. the almighty cheese burger and pizza.

    Higher cheese prices sent some processed cheese customers looking for a blend of cheese and alternative fats and proteins. If they were already using a blend, they looked at lower the percentage of cheese in their formulations. Ditto for pizza makers.

    Retail consumers will return to the cheese case, but users of blends are probably lost customers forever.

    I've only exposed the tip of the iceberg. Countless other changes in consumer and customer behavior have a lasting effect on dairy sales when prices spike like they did this spring.

    Marketing milk and dairy products is not a Game. Many of our consumers and customers take no prisoners. We need to work hard to counter the negatives of sticker shock.

    Share This Story

    Looking for a reprint of this article?
    From high-res PDFs to custom plaques, order your copy today!

    Jerry Dryer
    Marketing Analyst
    www.dairymarketanalyst.com
    Tel: (800) 243-7037
    Read Jerry's Bio

    Recommended Content

    JOIN TODAY
    to unlock your recommendations.

    Already have an account? Sign In

    • Lifeway Organic Kefir in different flavors inside a refrigerated grocery shelf.

      Dairy Foods names Lifeway Foods 2025 Processor of the Year

      Lifeway Foods donates $10,000 to wildfire victims,...
      Cultured Dairy
      By: Brian Berk
    • Two female farmers are standing in a field, holding a large milk canister, looking at several cows at dairy farm.

      Honoring Women Leaders Shaping the Dairy Industry

      For the fourth consecutive year, Dairy Foods is proud to...
      Dairy Foods & Beverages
      By: Barbara Harfmann
    • Main feature for State of the Industry with dairy products album cover with a gradient circular--patterned backgorund.

      2025 State of the Dairy Industry

      Welcome to the 2025 State of the Industry report. For...
      Ingredients for Dairy Processors
    Manage My Account
    • eMagazine Subscription
    • Dairy Foods News & Views Newsletter
    • Online Registration
    • Manage My Preferences
    • Subscription Customer Service
    • Connect with Dairy Foods

    More Videos

    Popular Stories

    Close up of a whipped frozen dessert with a light green color.

    The keys to high-protein dairy formulations

    A young Asian mother holding her son and a sippy cup, an older woman is in the blurred background.

    Finding the right infant formula is crucial to a baby’s growth and development

    A row of Frios Gourmet Pops with a tie dye pattern as a background.

    How Frios Gourmet Pops delivers happiness

    Outlook Report: Women in Dairy

    Products

    Probiotic Ice Cream: Science and Technology

    Probiotic Ice Cream: Science and Technology

    See More Products
    Let's Talk Dairy podcast promo

    Related Articles

    • Insights: Not all records are good

      See More
    • For bone strength, not all dairy benefits are equally beneficial

      See More
    • Not all protein sources are created equal

      Not all protein sources are created equal

      See More

    Related Products

    See More Products
    • icecream.gif

      Tharp & Young on Ice Cream: An Encyclopedic Guide to Ice Cream Science and Technology

    • Making Artisan Gelato

    See More Products

    Related Directories

    • All American Foods

    ×

    Stay ahead of the curve. Unlock a dose of cutting-edge insights.

    Receive our premium content directly to your inbox.

    SIGN-UP TODAY
    • RESOURCES
      • Advertise
      • Contact Us
      • Directories
      • Store
      • Want More
    • SIGN UP TODAY
      • Create Account
      • eMagazine
      • Newsletter
      • Customer Service
      • Manage Preferences
    • SERVICES
      • Marketing Services
      • Reprints
      • Market Research
      • List Rental
      • Survey/Respondent Access
    • STAY CONNECTED
      • LinkedIn
      • Facebook
      • YouTube
      • X (Twitter)
    • PRIVACY
      • PRIVACY POLICY
      • TERMS & CONDITIONS
      • DO NOT SELL MY INFORMATION
      • PRIVACY REQUEST
      • ACCESSIBILITY

    Copyright ©2026. All Rights Reserved BNP Media, Inc. and BNP Media II, LLC.

    Design, CMS, Hosting & Web Development :: ePublishing