Shining Star
by Julie Cook Ramirez
With progress being made in a number of areas,
processors are undeniably upbeat about milk’s bright future.
A burgeoning interest
in healthy eating … school districts booting out soft drink machines
… consumers catching on to findings regarding dairy consumption and
weight loss … the demand for organic milk outpacing organic milk
supplies.
On the surface, things just seem to keep getting better
and better for milk.
“This is the first time in a long time that
we’ve had the light shining so brightly on milk,” says Miriam
Erickson Brown, president and chief executive officer, Anderson Erickson
Dairy Co., Des Moines, Iowa. “We’re at the beginning of a
bright spot for milk and dairy in general. It’s a wonderful place to
be.”
In citing milk’s recent successes, Brown points
to the growing impact of the “3-A-Day of Dairy” weight loss
campaign, sponsored by the Washington, D.C.-based Milk Processor Education
Program (MilkPEP). At a recent MilkPEP meeting, she was astounded to learn
that 75 percent of women surveyed indicated they were aware of the
connection between milk and weight loss. Even more encouraging was the
finding that a large portion of those women report buying more milk as a
result of the campaign.
TOP 10 INDIVIDUAL WHOLE MILK BRANDS* | ||||||
$ Sales (In Millions) |
% Change vs. Year Ago |
Dollar Share |
Unit Sales (In Millions) |
% Change vs. Year Ago |
||
Total Category | $3,040.7 | -7.9% | 100.0% | 1,164.4 | -6.5% | |
Private Label | 1,918.1 | -9.6 | 63.1 | 739.3 | -7.5 | |
Borden Milk Products LP | 48.2 | -5.2 | 1.6 | 16.7 | -6.6 | |
Horizon Organic | 46.2 | 16.7 | 1.5 | 11.6 | 6.7 | |
Lactaid 100 | 32.6 | 6.4 | 1.1 | 9.0 | 3.4 | |
Garelick Farms | 31.1 | -4.8 | 1.0 | 13.9 | -3.4 | |
Pet | 30.3 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 11.1 | 2.9 | |
Prairie Farms | 29.3 | -0.9 | 1.0 | 12.3 | 3.0 | |
Mayfield | 26.7 | -1.2 | 0.9 | 7.9 | -3.1 | |
Tuscan Farms | 26.5 | -21.3 | 0.9 | 11.1 | -18.7 | |
Dean’s | 24.9 | -6.4 | 0.8 | 11.1 | -4.6 | |
* Total sales in supermarkets, drug stores and mass merchandisers, excluding Wal-Mart, for the 52-week period ending June 18, 2006. SOURCE: Information Resources Inc. |
“People who are aware of the campaign and trying
to lose weight are certainly purchasing milk at higher levels,” says
Tom Nagle, senior vice president of marketing, International Dairy Foods
Association (IDFA), Washington, D.C. “The share of adult women who
report they’re drinking more milk than they were six months ago has
been rising every quarter for well over a year.”
Nagle is especially excited by consumption trends among
women age 25 to 49, a key age group with regard to their own habits and
their status as mom of the household. Citing them as the “primary
target of the campaign,” Nagle proudly reports a reversal in per
capita consumption among these key consumers. These findings are
particularly noteworthy because they represent the reversal of a long
downward trend in consumption.
When it comes to the industry’s other key focus
— schools — the news is somewhat mixed. On the one hand, a
number of school districts have taken to banning soda machines, in the
hopes of pushing students toward healthier beverage choices. That
doesn’t mean milk processors have been handed the golden goose,
however. In the interest of students’ health, some districts —
including the New York City public school district, the nation’s
largest — have banned whole milk and most flavored milks, citing
their high fat and sugar content.
While he admits that the industry has encountered
“some pushback on a number of products,” Rick Naczi, executive
vice president of U.S. sales and marketing, Dairy Management Inc. (DMI),
Rosemont, Ill., stresses that progress most definitely outweighs setbacks
with regard to school milk.
“It’s just a matter of time before we
reverse most of that activity because the majority of people in the
dietetic community are very positive about flavored milk and milks in
schools,” Naczi says. “They know that the milk you want to
serve a kid of the milk they’ll drink. It doesn’t do any good
to give a kid plain nonfat milk if they are not going to consume
it.”
TOP 10 INDIVIDUAL FLAVORED MILK/EGGNOG/BUTTERMILK BRANDS* | ||||||
$ Sales (In Millions) |
% Change vs. Year Ago |
Dollar Share |
Unit Sales (In Millions) |
% Change vs. Year Ago |
||
Total Category | $719.3 | -1.4% | 100.0% | 382.1 | -3.4% | |
Private Label | 216.5 | 1.0 | 30.1 | 116.2 | -0.9 | |
Nestlé Nesquik | 98.2 | -3.2 | 13.6 | 54.9 | -7.4 | |
Dean’s | 28.3 | -3.7 | 3.9 | 15.6 | -5.3 | |
Kemps | 16.5 | -5.3 | 2.3 | 8.4 | -3.3 | |
Mayfield | 13.6 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 6.2 | 0.8 | |
Prairie Farms | 13.4 | 9.0 | 1.9 | 7.5 | 8.2 | |
Borden Milk Products LP | 11.9 | -0.2 | 1.6 | 5.2 | -3.8 | |
Garelick Farms | 11.3 | -1.8 | 1.6 | 5.3 | -7.1 | |
Land O’Lakes | 11.2 | -3.8 | 1.6 | 5.7 | -4.6 | |
Hiland | 10.8 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 6.2 | 9.0 | |
* Total sales in supermarkets, drug stores and mass merchandisers, excluding Wal-Mart,for the 52-week period ending June 18, 2006. SOURCE: Information Resources Inc. |
That concept is clearly illustrated in findings from
last year’s St. Louis School Milk Test, undertaken by MilkPEP in
cooperation with Prairie Farms Dairy Inc. Seeking to determine which
packaging and flavors proved most popular with school-age children, MilkPEP
experimented with multi-colored paperboard packaging and improved flavor
formulations, serving them to about 165,000 students at nearly 300 St.
Louis public schools. The result was an overall average increase in milk
consumption of more than 12 percent per school.
Likewise, the producer-funded New Look of School Milk
program has more than doubled the number of schools offering milk in
plastic, resealable bottles, with more than 3,700 schools participating
during the 2005-06 school year, compared to 1,500 during the 2004-05 school
year. According to Tom Gallagher, DMI’s chief executive officer, such
progress bodes well for the long-term future of milk. “Without a
doubt, building life-long dairy consumption starts with kids,” he
says. “We have a captive, impressionable audience (in schools), and
we must provide milk the way they want it.”
Gallagher reports that a packaging preference study
conducted last fall revealed that 94 percent of children will select milk
on the school meal line if it’s served cold, in multiple flavors and
packaged in easy-to-open, plastic resealable bottles. Consequently, DMI set
out to encourage processors to improve their school milk programs by
offering a variety of flavors and switching to resealable plastic bottles.
As a result of its efforts, Borden Milk Products LP,
was recognized earlier this year with the first Leadership in School
Nutrition (LISN) Award, sponsored by the Rosemont, Ill.-based National
Dairy Council for its cooperation with a Houston-area school district. The
award acknowledges and promotes positive partnerships between dairy
processors and schools through innovations in milk programming using
kid-appealing plastic packaging.
It was discussions with foodservice customers, rather
than a prospect of an award, that led Borden to devise more attractive
packaging, along with innovative new flavors, like Dulce de Leche, Orange
Dream Delight and Choco-Mint. The company also began packaging milk in
11-ounce plastic bottles. In particular, Borden’s efforts have been
focused on winning back the hearts, minds and stomachs of middle- and
high-schoolers, according to Ray Platter, executive vice president, Borden
Dairy, Conroe, Texas. While grade-school kids never really abandoned the
category, he says, ‘tweens and teenagers were another story.
“It just didn’t seem like the cool thing to
do to pick up milk with your school lunch,” he explains. “Once
the milk was in plastic bottles, not only were the kids picking up more
milk, but they were actually consuming it. That wasn’t necessarily
the case before.”
The Golden Halo
In spite of all the good news regarding milk, sales
don’t seem to be following suit. Overall, sales of milk fell 4.1
percent in dollars and 3.6 percent in units throughout supermarkets, drug
stores and mass merchandisers, excluding Wal-Mart, during the 52-week
period ending June 18, 2006, according to Chicago-based Information
Resources Inc. (IRI). Delving down further, whole milk suffered the
greatest losses, down 7.9 percent in dollars and 6.5 percent in units,
while skim/lowfat milk sales declined 3.0 percent and 2.4 percent and
flavored milk sales fell 1.4 and 3.4 percent, respectively.
These apparently conflicting results come as no
surprise to Matt Samson, marketing director, Garelick Farms, Franklin,
Mass. Encouraged by the good news regarding dairy and weight loss,
consumers are motivated to drink more milk. According to Samson, they
remain conflicted, however. Specifically, he says, consumers prefer the
creamy taste of whole and 2% milk, but they are concerned about the high
fat content of those products. Attracted to the lower fat content of skim-
and fat-free milk, they’ve found that those products just don’t
make the grade in terms of taste and mouth feel.
In an effort to address this issue, Garelick developed
Over the Moon milk, which claims to deliver the rich, creamy taste of
full-fat milk, but without all the fat. According to Samson, 1% Over the
Moon milk tastes like whole milk, while the fat-free variety tastes like a
2% product. The seemingly impossible feat was accomplished merely by adding
back more calcium and protein into the product.
Samson is hopeful that products like Over the Moon
will lure health-conscious consumers back to the milk category. Likewise,
Hayward, Calif.-based Omega Farms, a subsidiary of Pacific Cheese, hopes to
encourage milk consumption with its line of products, all of which are
fortified omega-3 fatty acids, which have been shown to be beneficial in
the treatment of a number of illnesses, ranging from heart disease to
arthritis to bipolar disorder.
TOP 10 INDIVIDUAL SKIM/LOWFAT MILK BRANDS* | ||||||
$ Sales (In Millions) |
% Change vs. Year Ago |
Dollar Share |
Unit Sales (In Millions) |
% Change vs. Year Ago |
||
Total Category | $6,681.5 | -3.0% | 100.0% | 2,702.8 | -2.4% | |
Private Label | 4,157.5 | -4.0 | 62.2 | 1,732.1 | -2.5 | |
Lactaid 100 | 215.9 | 7.9 | 3.2 | 63.1 | 2.9 | |
Horizon Organic | 131.8 | 19.1 | 2.0 | 34.1 | 8.9 | |
Dean’s | 82.3 | -0.4 | 1.2 | 38.0 | -1.0 | |
Kemps | 74.5 | -13.2 | 1.1 | 29.7 | -12.6 | |
Garelick Farms | 72.7 | -1.3 | 1.1 | 31.5 | 1.6 | |
Organic Valley | 71.2 | 29.0 | 1.1 | 19.2 | 21.8 | |
Prairie Farms | 65.4 | -8.6 | 1.0 | 29.3 | -4.7 | |
Hood | 62.7 | -11.2 | 0.9 | 24.2 | -9.7 | |
Mayfield | 59.0 | 7.4 | 0.9 | 17.0 | 5.0 | |
* Total sales in supermarkets, drug stores and mass merchandisers, excluding Wal-Mart, for the 52-week period ending June 18, 2006. SOURCE: Information Resources Inc. |
“We feel like we are doing a good thing for an
already healthy product, just enhancing it even more with better
nutrition,” says Cindy DiFerdinand, corporate nutritionist and
director of sales. “Because milk is such a mainstream product,
it’s a great vehicle to get more omegas into everyday
consumers.”
Omega Farms produces four varieties of milk —
Vitamin D, 1% Low-Fat, 2% Reduced-Fat and Chocolate 2% Reduced-Fat —
each serving of which contains 75 milligrams of EPA/DHA omega-3 fatty
acids. According to DiFerdinand, the company has received overwhelming
response both from consumers and retailers, who have been fielding consumer
requests for products fortified with omega-3 fatty acids.
In light of the rapidly growing natural foods industry,
Omega Farms very well might be heading down the right path in hedging their
bets with the health-conscious crowd.
In particular, the organic segment of the milk industry
is growing by leaps and bounds. While milk sales as a whole are down
slightly, sales of organic milk have skyrocketed, reaching approximately a
half-billion dollars in retail sales in 2005, according to Caragh
McLaughlin, senior brand manager, Horizon Organic, part of Broomfield,
Colo.-based WhiteWave Foods Co., which itself is a division of Dallas-based
Dean Foods. Horizon, in particular, has fared quite well, capturing the
number three spot in both the whole milk and the skim/low-fat
sub-categories. Sales of Horizon milks rose 16.7 percent in dollars and 6.7
percent in units in the former and 19.1 and 8.9 percent, respectively, in
the latter.
The Organic Arc
The tremendous growth in organic milk sales isn’t
expected to slow down anytime soon. Unfortunately, reports Katherine
DiMatteo, executive director of the Organic Trade Association, the demand
for organic milk is currently 10 percent more than the supply. The shortage
of organic milk will likely be compounded by the recent announcement by
Bentonville, Ark.-based Wal-Mart Stores Inc. that it intends to
significantly expand its organic foods line — and price it at a
minimal premium above its conventional offerings. According to Reuters, the
company intends to have more than 400 units of organic foods in Wal-Mart
stores by the end of the summer.
Industry analysts predict that Wal-Mart’s massive
buying power will push prices downward, narrowing the gap between organic
and traditional products. With processors already fighting for limited
organic milk supplies, the entrance of a giant player like Wal-Mart only
threatens to make things worse, especially for regional dairies
who’ve already been struggling to keep up with the demand.
Horizon CEO Joe Scalzo claims demand for organic milk
is increasing 25 percent each year. If demand continues to grow at that
pace, he says, the industry will have to more than double the number of
cows and acres dedicated to organic over the next five years.
Horizon’s parent company WhiteWave sponsors the HOPE (Horizon Organic
Producer Education) program to educate farmers about what it takes to
convert to organic and to provide them with financial assistance as they
make the switch, a three-year process. Currently, WhiteWave is said to be
helping about 200 small farms as they work toward becoming certified
organic.
Horizon also has a vested interest in boosting the
number of small farms producing organic milk. The company has come under
fire in recent years for the use of what critics brand “factory
farms” (approximately 80 percent of Horizon’s supply comes from
two large Horizon-owned farms in Idaho and Maryland). The Finland,
Minn.-based Organic Consumers Association has gone so far as to call for a
boycott against Horizon Organic, arguing the company should not be labeling
its products as “USDA Organic” because, the group alleges, its
milk comes from feedlots where the animals have been brought in from
conventional farms and are kept in intensive confinement with little or no
access to pasture. Also under fire is Boulder, Colo.-based Aurora Organic
Dairy, which provides private label organic milk to several major chains,
including Costco, Safeway, Giant Food and Wild Oats.
One dairy that is not on the ORC’s hit list
— La Farge, Wis.-based Organic Valley — has instituted an
aggressive campaign to recruit dairy farmers to go organic and help the
company keep up with the growing demand for organic milk. The campaign has
included a mass mailing to many northeast Iowa milk producers, enticing
them by explaining how much more money they could be making by producing
organic milk.
With organic sales showing no signs of slowing down,
schools embracing milk as they haven’t in decades and consumers
seeking out dairy products to assist them in reaching their weight loss
goals, processors are understandably bullish about the category’s
future. For her part, Brown isn’t even concerned about the ongoing
efforts of groups like People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals (PETA),
which has set its sights on destroying milk sales through the use of an
assortment of propaganda vehicles. That said, Brown does express concern
that milk could someday become the target of a “Dateline”-type
investigation revealing something negative with regard to milk, sparking
public backlash regardless of accuracy or context. In her mind, the impact
of such a broadcast could be catastrophic.
“Right now, milk has a pretty sweet spot in the
minds of consumers in that people generally feel it’s very
healthy,” she says. “If we ever get challenged on that or have
anything that would threaten that golden halo effect for consumers with
milk, that’s going to be a very scary place to be.”
Julie Cook Ramirez is a freelance journalist based in
the Chicago area.
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